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Indian Markets Stall: Nifty Stuck Below Highs
17 Jan
Summary
- Nifty experienced consolidation, trading in a narrow range last week.
- Index remains below recent high, awaiting a decisive market catalyst.
- Sector performance varied, with Pharma, Metal, and IT showing relative strength.
Indian equity markets experienced consolidation last week, with the Nifty closing with a marginal positive bias. The benchmark index traded within a narrow range, reflecting low participation due to a lack of major triggers and a trading holiday. Volatility, measured by India VIX, saw a slight increase but remained at historically benign levels.
The Nifty is currently positioned in a horizontal consolidation zone, just below its recent peak. It is trading above its 100-day moving average but faces resistance near the 25,900-26,000 levels. A sustained move above this resistance could signal a breakout, while a drop below 25,350 might indicate further weakness. Key support is observed around 25,500 and 25,200.
Analysis of Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) indicates that Pharma, Metal, and IT sectors are outperforming the broader market. Conversely, Energy, Realty, and FMCG sectors are in the lagging quadrant, suggesting potential underperformance. Traders are advised to adopt a cautious, stock-specific approach with strong risk management.
