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Japan's Factory Optimism Hits 5-Year High Amid Chip Boom
7 Oct
Summary
- Manufacturer confidence reached highest level in nearly five years.
- Non-manufacturer sentiment sharply declined due to rising costs.
- Chip demand fuels precision machinery sector's significant rise.
Business confidence among major Japanese manufacturers climbed in October to its highest level in nearly five years, primarily driven by robust demand in the semiconductor industry. The Reuters Tankan sentiment index for manufacturers reached plus-22, the highest since December 2021.
Confidence in the precision machinery sector, which supplies the chip industry, saw a significant nine-point increase to plus-38, reflecting strong order volumes. Other sectors like metal products and steel also reported notable gains in optimism.
Conversely, sentiment among non-manufacturers experienced a sharp downturn, falling to plus-23, its lowest point since November 2024. Food producers reported the most significant decline, dropping to minus-40 due to escalating raw-material costs and sluggish consumer spending.
Businesses in information and communications, retail, and real estate sectors also expressed reduced confidence, attributing it to higher interest rates and construction costs impacting household spending and investment.
Wholesalers, however, bucked the trend, seeing improved sentiment supported by demand for construction materials for disaster-recovery projects. Looking forward, manufacturers expect a slight improvement, while non-manufacturers anticipate a further dip in their confidence.