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India's Sugar Output Dips Below Consumption
2 Apr
Summary
- Production forecast below 28 million tons, less than consumption.
- Cane yield impacted by excessive rainfall, mills closing early.
- Domestic stockpiles to decrease, supporting local prices.

India's sugar production is poised to be less than domestic consumption for the second year in a row. Trade officials report that production is unlikely to surpass 28 million metric tons this season, a figure lower than the estimated local demand. This decline is attributed to lower sugarcane yields, exacerbated by excessive rainfall, which has led to a faster-than-usual closure of sugar mills.
As of early April 2026, a significant majority of mills, including those in major sugar-producing states like Maharashtra and Karnataka, have ceased operations. This contrasts with earlier industry forecasts of higher production. The reduction in output, coupled with an increase in sugar exports allowed by the government, means that domestic stockpiles are expected to shrink. This situation is anticipated to bolster local sugar prices, which have previously faced downward pressure due to ample supplies.