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Gold Steady as Diplomacy Offers Inflation Relief
16 Apr
Summary
- Middle East diplomacy seeks ceasefire extension and peace deal.
- Oil prices steady, easing inflation concerns and supporting gold.
- Gold prices fell 9% since the war began, recovering slightly.

Gold prices steadied as market participants assessed the potential for diplomatic resolutions to the Middle East conflict and subsequent easing of inflation risks. The precious metal hovered near $4,800 an ounce, following a recent decline. Discussions are underway between the US and Iran to extend a ceasefire for two weeks, allowing further negotiations toward a peace agreement. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, however, remains significantly disrupted by a dual blockade.
Recent talks in Pakistan concluded without a definitive agreement, though both sides have expressed an interest in continued diplomacy. US President Donald Trump indicated optimism that the nearly seven-week conflict is nearing its end. Meanwhile, oil prices have stabilized, and US stocks reached record highs, while the dollar index saw a slight decrease. This softening of crude oil prices has alleviated inflation anxieties, making central banks less likely to pursue interest rate hikes, which benefits non-yielding assets like gold.
Since the commencement of the war, gold has experienced a notable decrease of approximately 9%. Early stages of the conflict saw a liquidity crunch, prompting investors to divest holdings to cover losses in other markets. Tensions persist around the Strait of Hormuz, with ongoing US blockades of Iranian shipments and Tehran's restrictions on other maritime traffic through the critical waterway.
As of early trading, spot gold saw a marginal increase, while silver, platinum, and palladium also experienced slight gains. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index closed the previous session lower, reflecting broader market movements.