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Fed Divided: Rate Cut December Future Uncertain
20 Nov, 2025
Summary
- Fed members are split on cutting rates to aid jobs or fight inflation.
- December rate cut probability fell significantly after recent meeting minutes.
- Limited economic data due to a government shutdown complicates decisions.
Federal Reserve officials are experiencing significant disagreements regarding interest rate policy, casting doubt on a December rate cut. Minutes from the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting indicated that while some members saw a rate reduction as potentially appropriate, a substantial number favored maintaining current rates through year-end. This division highlights the complex challenge of addressing both high inflation and a slowing job market.
The core of the dilemma lies in the Fed's dual mandate: to promote maximum employment and stable prices. Persistent inflation, exceeding the 2% goal, clashes with signs of a cooling job market, pushing policymakers in opposing directions. The uncertainty is compounded by a lack of comprehensive economic data due to a government shutdown, making precise forecasting difficult for the committee.
