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Jobs Data Called Misleading Amidst World Cup Boom
3 Jul
Summary
- June jobs data, particularly hospitality, is deemed misleading by experts.
- Card spending rose 5.4% year-on-year during the World Cup group stage.
- Economists anticipate upward revisions to the initial June job estimates.

Recent U.S. employment data for June has drawn skepticism from financial professionals and economists. A significant point of contention is the reported loss of 61,000 jobs in the leisure and hospitality sector. This figure is considered implausible by many, particularly in light of the concurrent World Cup, which was expected to boost employment in this area.
Evidence suggests the World Cup has positively impacted economic activity. Card spending increased by 5.4% year-on-year during the tournament's group stage, with non-local visitors driving a 17.4% rise in spending. Despite this, the official jobs report indicated a weak overall economy, adding only 57,000 jobs. Economists widely expect upward revisions to the initial June estimates as further data is collected and processed, a common occurrence with U.S. economic statistics.