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Dollar Dives as Fed Hints at Dovish Turn
17 Dec
Summary
- Dollar weakened due to dovish Fed signals and stock market strength.
- Fed Governor Miran suggested current policy is unnecessarily restrictive.
- President Trump's potential dovish Fed Chair pick impacts dollar's value.
The dollar index has seen a significant downturn, registering a -0.24% decrease today. This decline is largely attributed to the unexpected contraction in the December Empire manufacturing survey, which signaled dovish implications for Federal Reserve policy. Increased strength in the stock market has also diminished the typical demand for the dollar as a safe haven.
Further pressure on the dollar stems from remarks by Fed Governor Stephen Miran, who stated that the Fed's current policy stance is unnecessarily restrictive for the economy, especially given benign inflation outlooks and warning signs in the labor market. The Federal Reserve's active liquidity injections, including the purchase of $40 billion in T-bills monthly, are also contributing factors.
Adding to the bearish sentiment for the dollar are ongoing concerns about President Trump's potential appointment of a dovish Federal Reserve Chair. National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett is reportedly the most likely choice, viewed by markets as a dovish candidate, which could signal a shift in monetary policy direction impacting the dollar's stability.
