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Luxury Brands Eye China's Rebounding Spending
23 Aug
Summary
- Chinese household consumption is stabilizing, showing recovery.
- Sales in China dropped over 10% in July for top luxury labels.
- Earnings estimates predict a performance pickup for luxury firms.

European luxury firms are observing a tentative recovery in the crucial Chinese market. Analysts note that Chinese household consumption is stabilizing and even beginning to rebound in certain segments, such as high-end cosmetics. This improvement is boosting sentiment for the luxury sector, which is vital for a broader luxury market recovery.
Despite these positive signals, the market remains under considerable pressure. In July, sales for the 25 largest luxury labels in China saw a decline of over 10%. This downturn was influenced by efforts to curb capital outflows and tax offshore wealth, impacting the spending habits of affluent citizens.
However, current earnings estimates suggest an upcoming improvement in performance. Companies like Gucci-owner Kering SA are expected to see sales growth return in the China region by the fourth quarter of this year. Similarly, Hermes International SCA anticipates accelerating growth, while Pandora A/S expects its sales declines to slow.
Luxury brands are implementing targeted strategies to capitalize on this evolving landscape. Burberry Group Plc reported a 9% increase in retail sales in Greater China, fueled by demand from Gen Z. The company has launched localized marketing campaigns, including a documentary produced in partnership with Chinese National Geography magazine.
Even LVMH SE, the world's largest luxury conglomerate, has observed signs of stabilization in China after several quarters of decline. The company reported improving trends for its cognac and beauty brands within the country, suggesting a potentially brighter future for the luxury sector in this key market.