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Driverless Cars: A $1 Trillion Ride Awaits
14 Dec
Summary
- Autonomous ride-hailing could unlock a $1 trillion US market opportunity.
- AVs might expand to 20% of annual US vehicle miles traveled in 15 years.
- Uber could see 13-20% long-term mobility bookings growth with AVs.

Autonomous vehicles are poised to revolutionize the U.S. transportation sector, with Bank of America projecting a staggering $1 trillion-plus market for driverless ride-hailing services. This seismic shift could redefine competition and profitability for major mobility players.
Analysts estimate that autonomous ride-hailing could account for 20% of annual U.S. vehicle miles traveled within the next 15 years. This expansion hinges on reducing per-mile costs to levels comparable with private car ownership.
Even with new entrants, companies like Uber stand to benefit significantly, with projections suggesting long-term mobility booking growth between 13% and 20%. Viable economics and growing demand for AVs suggest a substantial opportunity for both riders and platforms.




