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Fuel costs ground airline profits
23 Apr
Summary
- American Airlines drastically cut its 2026 profit forecast.
- Sky-high jet fuel costs are significantly impacting airline profit margins.
- Global conflicts have disrupted vital oil supply routes, increasing fuel prices.

American Airlines issued a stark warning on Thursday, significantly reducing its 2026 profit forecast due to escalating jet fuel expenses. The ongoing conflict has disrupted critical oil supply routes, causing jet fuel prices to nearly double. This surge represents the aviation industry's most substantial shock since the COVID-19 pandemic.
The dramatic rise in fuel costs, typically a quarter of an airline's operating expenses, is placing immense pressure on carriers. Airlines are caught between these spiraling costs and tickets sold in advance at fixed prices. To mitigate losses, airlines have resorted to increasing fares, reducing flight capacity, and enhancing fees for services like checked baggage.
The company now projects a loss of 40 cents to a profit of $1.10 per share for 2026, a sharp decrease from its previous estimate of $1.70 to $2.70 per share. In the first quarter of the current year, American Airlines reported a net loss of $382 million, or 58 cents per share, compared to a loss of $473 million, or 72 cents per share, in the same period last year.