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Supergirl's Box Office Faces Animated Giants
24 Jun
Summary
- Supergirl tracking for less than half of Superman's opening.
- Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters dominate the box office.
- Supergirl needs strong audience reception to compete effectively.
The DC Universe reboot, which began with "Superman" nearly a year ago, faces potential challenges with the release of "Supergirl." Directed by Craig Gillespie and starring Milly Alcock, "Supergirl" is projected to open with $40-45 million domestically, considerably less than "Superman's" $125 million launch. This performance is also weaker than last year's "The Flash," which debuted to $55 million. "Supergirl" is currently receiving mixed reviews, holding a 57% score on Rotten Tomatoes, a concerning sign.
Compounding these issues, "Supergirl" enters a crowded market dominated by major animated releases. Disney/Pixar's "Toy Story 5" has already surpassed $200 million domestically and is expected to earn over $80 million in its second weekend. Universal's "Minions & Monsters" is poised for a strong opening next week. To succeed, "Supergirl" needs strong audience reception comparable to "Superman" to attract casual moviegoers.
Despite a reported $175 million budget, insiders suggest that surpassing $300 million worldwide would be considered a success for "Supergirl." The film's international potential may be boosted by actor Matthias Schoenarts. However, a quick decline, similar to "The Flash," could raise questions about broader audience interest in the DC Universe's future tentpole films. Future DC releases, including "Clayface," "Man of Tomorrow," and "The Batman -- Part II," will maintain some detachment from Gunn's interconnected universe, differing from the MCU's model.
Elsewhere, Paramount is releasing "Jackass: Best and Last," the final installment in the stunt series. After reuniting for "Jackass Forever" in 2022, which grossed $80.5 million worldwide on a $10 million budget, the new film is projected for a $10-14 million opening in a more competitive market. This installment will mix new stunts with compilations of past material, serving as a retrospective for nostalgic fans. Paramount also hopes the film will drive streaming revenue by promoting the entire "Jackass" library on Paramount+.
