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Marvel Eyes Top Box Office Spot Over Mario
14 May
Summary
- Super Mario Galaxy Movie betting odds now at 8%
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads with 70% odds
- Mario film has earned over $922 million worldwide
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, initially the year's highest-grossing film, has seen its betting odds on Polymarket drop to approximately 8%. This significant shift places it behind Marvel contenders Spider-Man: Brand New Day (70% odds) and Avengers: Doomsday (12%).
The animated film, featuring Chris Pratt, reached theaters in early April and quickly surpassed $922 million globally by early May. It had secured its position as 2026's top earner, a lead that has since diminished as the movie enters its seventh week in theaters.
Despite its strong performance, with projections to clear $1 billion, the betting market now favors Marvel's upcoming slate. The historical success of films like Spider-Man: No Way Home, which grossed nearly $2 billion, appears to be influencing bettors' decisions more than The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's early lead.
